BIG MARLEY’S UFC 227 BETTING PREVIEW

There is a lot of money to be obtained this week DraftKings including a top prize of $30k from the primary tournament. DK also has a lot of Qualifier contests available this week, in which the last event will pay $50k into 1st if you did qualify to play inside. I’ll be pursuing those as well since we have never had a $50k 1st place prize and I want it. I do think we’ve got a fun card this Saturday and I am all set to go into this 3-week break with a winning night in UFC 227. Here are a few plays I enjoy this weekend along with my fade of this week.
Cash Game play of the week — Demetrious Johnson ($9,400)
Demetrious Johnson is the safest play in all DFS MMA and he has the maximum ceiling too. DJ is the P4P best fight in the world (not counting Jon Jones) and he has already beat Cejudo once before. This is the first person I’m plugging in my money LU this week and I advise you to do the same. DJ is almost sure to score at least 100-points at a triumph, and he has a -550 gambling line saying he must get the win again here. Play it safe and use DJ in cash. You can pile this battle as well, however I think DJ is essential.
GPP play of the week — Thiago Santos ($9,200)
This is a great fight to target this week because it most likely will not go to a decision. Holland just fought on the Contender Series a few weeks ago and didn’t get a contract. But now he’s on the PPV against one of the most bizarre strikers from the branch. The ITD lineup for Santos is currently -210 and the under 1.5 rounds gambling line is -160. This tells me Vegas thinks this fight ends ancient and Santos is the guy which should pick up the end. At $9.2k, he easily pays that cost off in a 1st round win and I presume he’s a solid shot at doing just that. I really don’t care for him as much in cash game formats however because both men have quite lower floors, so this really is a GPP only play for me personally.
Underdog play of the week — Brett Johns ($7,400)
I believe everybody is writing off Brett Johns following his loss to Aljo Sterling and that is why he’s so cheap on DraftKings this weekend. With the wrestling style Johns brings to the table, he has 100+ upside in a decision triumph. Of course, we’re worried about him getting caught in a guillotine when he shoots for takedowns, but if he can avoid that I think he can win this battle and 10x his wages with a triumph. I don’t think Johns will wish to hit with Munhoz for 15-minutes so that I do believe he will be shooting for takedowns. Those takedowns could get him filed, or they could get him a triumph over the scorecards. However, this makes him a boom or bust play and that’s why he’s a good underdog to pick in GPPs this past week.
Fade of the week — Danielle Taylor ($7,500)
Even in an affordable $7.5k on DraftKings, Taylor will still require a end to pay that price label off with her fashion. She’s the worst style potential for scoring DraftKings point and even if she gets a triumph here she could end up scoring significantly less than several losers on the card. Taylor is going to be the least owned fighter in GPPs this week, so in the event that you want to invest your money on a 115 lb lady using a”punchers chance” of winning you a GPP, then you will be quite contrarian taking that path. But I don’t have any interest in investing my money into that I will have Taylor in 0 of my lineups this week. If I had been making 150 lineups, I’d still full vanish Taylor here.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle on the card and give my complete DraftKings analysis, as well as all my pick predictions, you’ll find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
http://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks

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