BIG MARLEY’S UFC 227 BETTING PREVIEW

There’s a lot of money to be won this week DraftKings including a top prize of $30k in the primary tournament. DK also has a lot of Qualifier competitions on this week, where the final event will pay $50k to 1st for those who did qualify to perform in it. I’ll be pursuing those as well since we’ve never had a $50k 1st place prize and I want it. I do think we’ve got a enjoyable card this Saturday and that I am ready to enter this 3-week break using a winning night in UFC 227. Here are a couple plays I like this weekend along with my fade of this week.
Money Game play of this week — Demetrious Johnson ($9,400)
Demetrious Johnson is the safest play in all DFS MMA and he has the highest ceiling as well. DJ is the P4P best fight on earth (not counting Jon Jones) and he’s already beat Cejudo once before. This is the first person I’m plugging in my cash LU this week and I advise you to do exactly the same. DJ is almost guaranteed to score at least 100-points in a win, and he has a -550 gambling line saying he should get the win here. Play it safe and use DJ in cash. It’s possible to pile this battle as well, but I think DJ is essential.
GPP drama of the week — Thiago Santos ($9,200)
This is a great fight to goal this week because it probably won’t visit a choice. Holland just fought on the Contender Series that a few weeks back and did not receive a contract. But today he is about the PPV against one of the scariest strikers in the division. The ITD lineup for Santos is currently -210 and the below 1.5 rounds betting line is -160. This tells me Vegas thinks this battle ends ancient and Santos is the man that should pick up the finish. At $9.2k, he easily pays that price tag off in a 1st round win and I think he’s a solid shot at doing just that. I really don’t care for him as much in cash game formats however because both men have quite lower floors, so this is a GPP only play for me.
Underdog drama of the week — Brett Johns ($7,400)
I think everyone is writing off Brett Johns following his loss to Aljo Sterling and that’s exactly why he’s so cheap on DraftKings this weekend. Together with the wrestling fashion Johns brings to the table, he’s 100+ upside even in a decision triumph. Of course, we are worried about him becoming caught in a guillotine when he shoots takedowns, but if he can avoid I believe he can win this battle and 10x his salary with a win. I really don’t think Johns will want to strike with Munhoz to get 15-minutes so that I really do believe he will be shooting for takedowns. Those takedowns could get him submitted, or they may get him a win on the scorecards. But this makes him a boom or bust play and that is why he’s a good underdog to pick in GPPs this past week.
Fade of this week — Danielle Taylor ($7,500)
Even in a cheap $7.5k on DraftKings, Taylor will still require a end to pay that price tag off with her style. She’s the worst style possible for scoring DraftKings point and even if she’s a triumph here she could wind up scoring less than several losers on the card. Taylor will be the least owned fighter in GPPs this week, so if you would like to invest your money on a 115 pound lady using a”punchers chance” of winning you a GPP, then you’ll be quite contrarian taking that route. However, I have no interest in investing my money into that so I will have Taylor in 0 of my lineups this week. If I had been making 150 lineups, I’d still full vanish Taylor here.
Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight on the card and give my complete DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
http://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks

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