BIG MARLEY’S UFC 229 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend we have the largest competition we’ve ever seen for DraftKings MMA. We have a $10 entry contest with $300,000 in total prizes, and $100,000 of that to 1st place. I never believed we would observe a 6-figure 1st place trophy for MMA but that I was wrong and that I can not wait to chase it. Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov is going to be the biggest fight in UFC history and DraftKings just made it even bigger for us DFS players. We are down to 12-fights so that we can observe a range of ties for this 1st place prize, therefore strive to be different with your lineups someplace, or leave wages on the dining table to differ in this way. With that said, here are a few plays I like this weekend along with my fade of this week:
Money Game play of the week — Vicente Luque ($9,400)
Luque is the”safest” play on the card with a good margin in his -900 gaming lineup. I enjoy plugging in those high likelihood guys in money so I can lock a triumph in there and worry about locating 3 other wins from my 5 other areas. We generally only want 4 wins in money games to win against the cash line, so that’s what I take for in those 50/50 or double up games. Luque has been quite remarkable in his UFC conduct and he has beat some fairly big names. On paper, this is one of his easiest matches yet. In addition, he has large time upside with his completing potential. He’s got an ITD line of -270, so that I believe we could have 100+ points in this triumph. He’s a fantastic play in all formats, however he will be chalky in championships, so that’s why he is my cash play of this week instead.
GPP play of this week — Alexander Volkov ($8,700)
Heavyweights are always good to target in GPPs because it just takes 1 shot with a lot of those men. I believe that this is a great matchup for Volkov and he’s priced at $8.7k weekly. If he can find a 1st round KO at the price, he will probably be on the winning LU. Same goes for Lewis, so he’s a good GPP drama too. However, my choice to win is going to be Volkov and I enjoy his cost. I think a few men priced over him this week will be a lot higher owned, therefore we could find a heavyweight favored at lesser possession . Fight Doesn’t Go To Conclusion is presently lined at -190, so this is a fantastic GPP struggle to aim over all. If you enjoy the Dark Beast to get the W, then he is a fantastic fighter to throw on your GPP LUs.
Underdog drama of the week — Tony Martin ($7,400)
This is the best odds value on the card. Presently, Laflare is lined at -135 and Tony Martin is lined at +115. However, on DraftKings Laflare is priced $1,400 higher than Martin. I love searching online worth like that which alone puts Martin in play in most formats. Martin also has got the better odds to end this fight ITD, so that is another and with him. I like the floor for Martin in cash games also because Laflare isn’t very likely to finish if he wins. So, at $7.4k, we could afford a reduction from Martin and just take the things he could rack up in 15-minutes.
Fade of the week — Sergio Pettis ($8,600)
Sergio Pettis could get the win . But he’s going to have to acquire a finish to pay off his $8.6k price tag. Sergio won’t be going for any takedowns in this fight, and he does not strike at a high enough speed for him to find 10x of the $8.6k. Sergio will be the better fighter on the toes, but if he doesn’t get a finish then he likely only scores 60-70 points in a win. Those low scores don’t cut it at $8.6k. There are just better plays points per dollar and people are the guys I’ll be targeting. Sergio is a solid fade if you’re earning 20 or less lineups this weekend.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight on the card and provide my complete DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all of my pick predictions, then you can find that for only $7.99 on this link below:

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