BIGMARLEY3’S UFC ON ESPN+ 11 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we have a 12-fight card at Sweden. It was a 13-fight card, but we just had Oezdemir/Latifi drop off, so be sure they are not in your lineups. DraftKings has some solid contests for us to acquire a lot of cash from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they will compete for a $50k first place price and $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 entries that qualify. I will try to get my 3rd seat this week. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those overly hard. I will probably stick to the top GPP this week and then throw a handful of entries at the $25k prize, then I am going to take a few shots at the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a fantastic quantity of drama into cash games.
With that said, let’s get to a few plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of the week:
Money Game play of the week — Alexander Gustafsson — $9,300
Gus is my confident pick of this card this week and he’s also the biggest betting favored on the card. I believe we could pile this main event in money games and utilize both Gus and Anthony Smith, but I am not sure whether I’ll do this or not. I’ll for sure have Gustafsson in my cash lineup however and he is who I will be starting that lineup with. With 5-rounds to use I believe he has the maximum ceiling on the card and I think he gets a finish in this fight. Possibly with numerous takedowns. He will be extremely well known in GPPs so in the event that you want to get away from him I think that the tournaments are the spots for that. I will be locking him to my cash lineup though personally.
GPP drama of this week — Tonya Evinger — $8,600
On DraftKings, I enjoy Evinger in her struggle and that I have zero interest in Lansberg. Evinger’s greatest path to victory is punishing Lansberg on the floor and that scores highly if she can do that. I also believe she could get a finish. I think she’s in play in all formats and I do think she’s 100+ upside here and that is why she’s my GPP play of this week. There aren’t a lot of UFC matchups I’d say that for using Evinger at this point in her career, but this one looks perfect for her. I think she dominates this battle and ends it with floor in pound in round 2 or 1. If that’s the case, she should score well and possibly win a person $25k.
Underdog play of the week — Devin Clark — $7,500
I feel pressured to play with Devin Clark this week since he’s only $7.5k but he’s the current gaming favorite. I really like that kind of worth on DraftKings and that is what’s forcing me to roll up him. We have to include”underdogs” within our DK lineups and when we can really get a favored, or even a roster with 6 favorites, then which helps our odds of hitting all 6 conflicts and taking down a GPP. Clark should be hot this week as well because of this value, therefore I think he is in play as a cash game block and if you want, but in GPPs you will want to have him more than 33% of your lineups to get any leverage on him over the area.
Fade of this week — Duda Santana $8,600
Duda Santana is an easy fade for me this week. She is $8.6k but she is the underdog about the betting line. She is also +365 to win ITD. If I am paying that cost on DK I need higher completing upside or somebody who will be going for a great deal of takedowns. I don’t see her having much of a ceiling in this fight even if she does win so that I don’t see her being around the 25k lineup. That is why I will be complete disappearing Santana this week. If I was making 150 lineups afterward I’d include her in the mix, but I would need 50 lineups before I even contemplated using her.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight about the card and give my full DraftKings analysis, as well as all my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are available at that link as well. I’m 79-48 for +256.49u (+$25,649) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

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