BIGMARLEY3’S UFC ON ESPN+ 11 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card at Sweden. It turned out to be a 13-fight card, but we only had Oezdemir/Latifi drop off, so be sure they aren’t on your lineups. DraftKings has some strong competitions for us to win a great deal of cash from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of $100k being paid out. They also have a new Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they’ll compete for a $50k first location cost and that $175k will be spread out between all 100 entries that qualify. I will attempt to receive my chair this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those too hard. I will likely stick to the very best GPP this week and then throw a small number of entries at the $25k decoration, then I am going to take a few shots in the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs through the week to get a fantastic quantity of play into cash games.
With that said, let us get into a few plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of this week — Alexander Gustafsson — $9,300
Gus is my most confident pick of this card this week and he’s also the largest betting favorite on the card. I think we can stack this principal event in money games and use both Gus and Anthony Smith, but I am not sure whether I will do that or not. I will for sure have Gustafsson in my money lineup however and he’s who I will be starting that lineup with. With 5-rounds to use I think he’s the highest ceiling about the card and that I believe he gets a complete inside this fight. Perhaps with multiple takedowns. He’ll be exceedingly popular in GPPs so if you would like to get away from him I think the tournaments are the areas for that. I’ll be locking him to my money lineup though personally.
GPP drama of the week — Tonya Evinger — $8,600
On DraftKings, I enjoy Evinger in her fight and I have zero interest in Lansberg. Evinger’s greatest path to success is penalizing Lansberg on the ground and that scores tremendously if she can accomplish that. I also think she could get a finish. I think she’s in play in most formats and I do think she’s 100+ upside here and that is why she’s my GPP drama of this week. There are not a lot of UFC matchups I’d say that for with Evinger at this point in her career, but this one seems perfect for her. I think she dominates this battle and finishes it with ground in pound in around 2 or 1. If that is true, she must score well and possibly win a person $25k.
Underdog play of the week — Devin Clark — $7,500
I feel pressured to play with Devin Clark this week since he is just $7.5k however he’s the current betting favorite. I love that kind of value on DraftKings and that is what’s forcing me to roll up him. We must include”underdogs” within our DK lineups and if we can get a favorite, or even a roster with 6 favorites, then which helps our likelihood of hitting all 6 conflicts and taking down a GPP. Clark ought to be hot this week as well due to this value, therefore I think he is in play for a cash game block and if you want, but in GPPs you will need to get him in more than ~33% of your lineups to get any leverage on him over the field.
Fade of the week — Duda Santana $8,600
Duda Santana is an easy fade for me this week. She is $8.6k however she’s the underdog about the betting line. She is also +365 to acquire ITD. If I am paying that cost on DK I want higher finishing upside or somebody who will be going for a great deal of takedowns. I really don’t see her having much of a ceiling inside this fight even though she does win so that I do not see her being around the 25k lineup. That’s why I will be complete disappearing Santana this week. If I was making 150 lineups then I’d add her in the combination, but I would need 50 lineups until I even considered using her.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle on the card and give my complete DraftKings evaluation, as well as all my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link as well. I’m 79-48 for +256.49un (+$25,649) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

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