NASCAR at Richmond odds, picks 2019: Model says Kyle Larson surprises at Toyota Owners 400

For the first time this year, NASCAR will probably be under the lights if the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday at Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR in Richmond as the pioneer in the NASCAR Monster Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He is looking for his fourth win of this year along with also the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds give him a 9-4 chance to get it as he starts in fifth position after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the quickest speed in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, providing him the pole position. His NASCAR in Richmond odds have moved out of 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are among the other leading contenders in this .75-mile short course. Before locking in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 picks of your own, first make certain to check out the NASCAR predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors such as track history and recent results into account.

The model is off to a solid start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top-four competition from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano at its projected top . It also nailed Busch’s enormous win at Bristol a week. Anyone who has followed its selections is way up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic venues like Richmond Raceway have been in his blood. His model mimicked the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

For NASCAR in Richmond 2019we can tell you the version is high on Kyle Larson, making a strong run at taking the checkered flag despite going off at 25-1 NASCAR in Richmond odds.

Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, that’s the third-best among active drivers. He has finished seventh or better in four of the last five events at Richmond and won the Richmond fall race in 2017. He’ll start in 14th place after a marginally slower than expected qualifying period of 123.54 MPH. But he posted the fastest lap (121.70 MPH) in the first practice session on Friday, so he has shown the speed needed to climb the NASCAR in Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.

And a massive shocker: Truex Jr., among the top Vegas favorites at 6-1, doesn’t even crack the top five. There are far better worth in a loaded 2019 NASCAR in Richmond lineup.

The 39-year-old veteran is sitting at seventh in the standings, but he’s tapered off recently. Truex finished 12th at Texas Motor Speedway and then fought last week in Bristol, ending 17th. In his career, Truex has not fared well at Richmond Raceway either. In reality, he has finished in the top five only 3 times in 26 career starts at the monitor.

The model is also targeting two other drivers using 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds of 20-1 or longer to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these lengthy shots can hit it big.

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