UFC 196: Betting Odds and Predictions

Conor McGregor vs Nate Diaz may not be the superfight we had been anticipating, but it’s absolutely one of the most exciting matchups we could have expected to watch as MMA fans. UFC 196 won’t just feature McGregor vs Diaz, it will likewise see Holly Holm place her bantamweight title at stake for the very first time when she chooses on Miesha Tate.
Conor McGregor (-400) vs Nate Diaz (+300)
We have the featherweight winner taking on the ranked lightweight in a welterweight fight. Yeah, this fight will be a bit weird.
McGregor makes his first appearance in the Octagon since dusting Jose Aldo in 13 seconds to acquire the featherweight title. Considering joining the UFC back in 2013, McGregor is 7-0 with half of the victories coming via stoppage.
Much has been made of McGregor’s striking style along with also the devastating knockout power the Irishman owns. His standup game relies within a vertical stance that enables McGregor to throw his teammates without even exerting excess time or energy. He has become an expert at using his teammates to make the distance he can use to start his arsenal of attacks. The swiftness and brutality of these attacks are unparalleled in MMA today.
The biggest question mark in this fight is size. McGregor is fighting 170 pounds for the first time in his career; a jump of 25 pounds in contrast to his final struggle, and will be in a reach disadvantage for the first time within the UFC. ‘The Notorious One’ consistently held a distinct advantage in size in the lower weight classes, but Nate is roughly four inches taller and includes a two-inch achieve advantage.
Diaz owns a fighting style that’s uniquely suited to him along with his brother Nick. He’s a volume boxer first and foremost on his toes, meaning he cries in bunches and loves to be aggressive. The Stockton-native is good at keeping his distance, quickly moving into throw a flurry and then getting back to distance. Diaz pairs his striking skills with a phenomenal ground game that has resulted in 11 of his 18 career wins coming via entry.
Despite his powerful ground game, Diaz is unable to genuinely use it thanks to a bad wrestling match. It seems that Diaz will often attempt to taunt his opponents to a location where they go to the takedown and that he will perform his work. Although his striking game is strong, it’s far from ideal as it involves a very simple attack with few unpredictable elements.
Can Diaz submit McGregor? Yes. Can he get the chance to? Not likely.
This is predicted to become a standup affair and though Diaz is a competent striker, he does not have the exact same degree of abilities that McGregor does. Conor has good movement skills, which should help him conquer his reach disadvantage and pick up the win in this one.

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